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Sagami Bay (相模湾) — Earthquake Risk & History

Kanto region · Based on HERP official data

Risk Level: Very High

Sagami Bay was the epicenter of the 1923 Great Kanto Earthquake (M7.9, ~100,000 dead). The Sagami Trough runs through the southern bay. A recurrence event would devastate the Tokyo-Kanagawa metropolitan area.

Fault Lines & Seismic Characteristics

Active Faults & Trenches

  • Sagami Trough

Sagami Bay was the epicenter of the 1923 Great Kanto Earthquake (M7.9, ~100,000 dead). The Sagami Trough runs through the southern bay. A recurrence event would devastate the Tokyo-Kanagawa metropolitan area.

Earthquake History

  • M7.9

    1923

    Great Kanto Earthquake — epicenter in Sagami Bay; Tokyo and Yokohama devastated; ~100,000 dead

    📖 Wikipedia
  • M8.2

    1703

    Genroku Kanto earthquake — epicenter in Sagami Bay; tsunami killed thousands

Future Probability — HERP Official Assessment

Long-term probability for this area is available on the HERP official website.

🔗 HERP Official Website →

Traveler Safety Information

Finding Evacuation Shelters

  • Search "避難所" (hinanjo) on Google Maps to find the nearest shelter from your current location
  • Install NHK World or Safety tips (Japan Tourism Agency app) — both send English earthquake alerts

Basic Action Rules

  • At check-in, locate emergency exits and escape routes
  • On strong shaking: protect your head, open a door to secure an exit, do not use elevators
  • Near coasts or rivers: move to high ground immediately — do not wait for a tsunami warning
  • Emergency numbers: Police 110 · Ambulance/Fire 119
  • Contact your embassy in Tokyo for emergency consular assistance

Research & Official Sources AI summary

  • Sagami Trough major earthquake recurrence cycle

    M8-class earthquakes on the Sagami Trough recur on a 200–400 year cycle. About 100 years have passed since the last major event (1923), and experts warn the next recurrence is gradually approaching.

    Source: 내각부 중앙방재회의 (2022)

Related Guides

⚠️ Notice
Seismic characteristics and research summaries on this page are AI-generated from publicly available data by JMA, Cabinet Office, and HERP. Historical earthquake data (year, magnitude, damage) is based on official records, but key figures should always be cross-checked with the latest official sources. This page does not predict future earthquakes.